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7.9 Analysis of the rise and fall trend of gold and crude oil today and the latest exclusive long and short operation suggestions and guidance
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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "【XM Group】: Analysis of the up and down trend of 7.9 Gold and Crude Oil Today's Market Trend and the latest exclusive long and short operation suggestions and guidance". Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
Same market, different guidance, different life. The characteristic of novices is that they do not understand technology and enter the market blindly. They only consider one issue each time they trade: they think that as long as they predict the market's rise and fall, they can make this transaction. This approach of focusing on direction and ignoring position has caused traders to fail. In fact, there is a big difference between the "momentum" and the "direction" that follow the trend, because the direction of the market's movement is in a volatile pattern, and the market trend is often global. What I can do here is to help you control your position reasonably, place orders using support and resistance levels, so that every order has reasonableness and traces to follow. The buying and selling points should not enter the market at will, please be responsible for your own funds. If you really can't grasp the market, you can eouu.cne to find me. There will be no loss for you if you have an extra analyst. Always remember one thing: professionals do professional things, and all practical things are only for profits, and cooperation is only for win-win results.
The latest gold market trend analysis:
Gold news analysis: As of 23:58 on July 8, London gold was currently at $3,297/ounce, showing a volatile trend of "bottoming and rebounding - under pressure and falling" during the day. On the news front, the Trump administration announced that it would extend the "reciprocal tariff" suspension period from July 9 to August 1, but simultaneously increased the tariff rate on 14 countries (up to 70%), triggering a warming market risk aversion sentiment. At the same time, the central bank increased its holdings of gold for the eighth consecutive month, with the purchase of gold reaching 32 tons in June, further strengthening the safe-haven nature of gold. However, the US dollar index strengthened to a one-week high of 97.6, suppressing gold prices.
Gold technical analysis: Spot gold fluctuated upward on Tuesday and then fell. US continued to fall after the marketRecent lows. The US tariff policy is tug of war, and risk aversion is repeated; the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting will be announced, and the probability of maintaining interest rates exceeding 95% in July; the central bank has continuously increased its holdings, supporting gold prices in the long term. Focus on the $3250 support and $3330 resistance. On the hourly trend, the short-term moving average began to gradually diverge downward, and the K-line began to slowly under pressure, and the short-term moving average maintained a weaker operation, and there may be some adjustments in the short-term trend. The key point is the gains and losses of 3300 above. If 3300 does not break through or stand firm above, rebound is a short opportunity.
From the 4-hour gold chart, the gold price fell at a high level and then stabilized in the 3287 area. Although the support effect at this position is good, the price is in a volatile trend recently. Therefore, you can continue to pay attention to the rise and fall of the 3285-3350 range. The breakthrough direction of the oscillation range is the reference signal for the short-term direction of the future market. Overall, in terms of today's short-term gold operation ideas, He Bosheng recommends that rebound short sellers should be the main focus, and pullbacks should be the auxiliary focus. The short-term focus on the 3320-3330 line of resistance is focused on the 3285-3275 line of support is focus on the 3285-3275 line of support.
Analysis of the latest trend of crude oil:
Analysis of crude oil news: Crude oil prices fell slightly on Tuesday, mainly due to the dual impact of changes in US trade policy and OPEC+'s exceeding expectations of increased production. Brent crude oil futures fell $0.21 to $69.37 a barrel; U.S. WTI crude oil fell $0.37 to $67.56 a barrel. In the previous trading day, the prices of crude oil from both indicators rose by nearly 2%. The U.S. president announced that tariffs would be raised in August, heightening market concerns about the economic slowdown. The U.S. president informed several trading partners, including South Korea, Japan, Serbia, Thailand and Tunisia on Monday that the U.S. will begin implementing higher tariffs on August 1. The news has sparked a renewed market concerns about trade, with investors generally worried that hindering global economic growth will weaken crude oil demand. Judging from the current trend, oil prices have entered a policy-led volatility stage. On the one hand, the new US tariff policy has enhanced market concerns about trade. On the other hand, although OPEC+'s production increase exceeded expectations, its implementation is limited. In the short term, oil prices will tug-of-war between "strong demand" and "macro uncertainty." It is recommended to pay attention to the OPEC+ meeting in early August and further developments in the US macro data, which will determine the direction of oil prices in the next stage.
Crude oil technical analysis: From the daily chart level, the medium-term trend fluctuates upward test around 78. The K-line closes to a large physical negative line, and has not yet destroyed the moving average system, and is still supported. The medium-term objective trend is unchanged. However, from the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator crosses downward above the zero axis, indicating that the bulls' momentum is weakened, and it is expected that the medium-term trend of crude oil will fall into a high-level oscillation pattern. The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil failed to continue to hit a new low and was operating at a rebound rhythm. Oil prices cross the moving average system, and the short-term objective trend enters a conversion period. From the perspective of kinetic energy, the MACD indicator passes through the zero axis, and the red column indicates the bullish kinetic energy tableThere is sufficient reason for the current operation within a wide range, with the range amplitude between 64.00-67.80. It is expected that the crude oil trend will be repeatedly measured in the range of the upper edge. Overall, in terms of today's operational ideas of crude oil, He Bosheng recommends that the main focus should be on the low-sinking back, and the rebound should be supplemented by the high altitude. The short-term focus should be on the 70.0-71.0 line resistance at the top, and the short-term focus should be on the 66.0-65.0 line support at the bottom.
He Bosheng analyzed the team's investment risk control: ①. There must be a stop loss. Even if it is a big stop loss, the stop loss must be right. If it is wrong, it is also right. If it is wrong, it is wrong. If it is right, it is wrong. If it is unconditional stop loss.
②. Do not increase positions when you lose. For example, within the scope of your position building, if you are wrong, do not blindly increase positions, do not take chances to reduce costs, choose advantageous points to place an order. If the direction is wrong, the more you increase, the more you lose. This will directly expose yourself to risks (if the direction is correct but the entry point is not good, it is advisable to increase positions, but also requires a method. Do not blindly fluctuate the market and increase positions at one point).
③. Stop loss on the day. If you lose three consecutive orders, you will not trade on the same day.
④. Positions should be light, and it is best to control positions within 10%.
⑤. Keep the positions consistent for a period of time. Do not take too much or too light at a time to maintain consistency.
He Bosheng's message: Now is the era of the rise of the investment industry, and I believe investors are also confused. For example, among the questions of what kind of investment, what platform to choose, how much money to put, whether the funds are safe, whether they can make profits, etc., He Bosheng has seen too many customers' experiences in recent years, and one year has doubled, one has lost half of the money in one month, and so on. I won’t choose to change anything, nor can I change anything. This is the market. What I can do is to make myself work harder, insist on doing my own transactions, and deserve the trust of my customers and me. I guarantee you too much, and what I get is a thousand miles apart. The trust between people is gradually lost. What I want to do is not a one-time transaction, but I hope for a good relationship that will last forever. He Bosheng helps you establish your own investment ideas so that you can go on for the long term, create brilliance together and win-win cooperation.
This article is exclusively planned by Gold Crude Oil analyst He Bosheng. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is personal advice. Because the online publication is timely and the suggestions in the article are for learning reference only, and the risks of operating based on this are at your own risk. No matter whether the views and strategies of the article are consistent with everyone's opinions, you can eouu.cne to me to discuss and learn together! There is nothing difficult in the world, I am afraid of those who are interested. Investment itself carries risks, reminding everyone to identify the authoritative platform and the strong teacher. Fund safety is the first priority, secondly, consider operational risks, and finally how to make a profit.
The above content is all about "【XM Group】: Analysis of the up and down trends of 7.9 Gold and Crude Oil Today's Market Trends and the latest exclusive long and short operation suggestions and guidance". It was carefully eouu.cnpiled and edited by the XM Foreign Exchange editor. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!
Because the author's ability is limited,Some of the contents in the article still need to be discussed and studied in depth due to the urgent and other reasons. Therefore, in the future, the author will conduct extended research and discussion on the following issues:
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